FIRE Calculator

Estimate a financial-independence target from annual expenses and a withdrawal rate, plus a rough timeline.

Inputs

Result

FI target
$1,000,000
Remaining $900,000.00 · ≈ 17.8 years to FI

Visual breakdown

FI target
$1,000,000.00
Have now
$100,000.00
Remaining
$900,000.00
Years to FI
17.8
Already invested $100,000.00 — 10%
Still to invest $900,000.00 — 90%

Formula

FI target = annual expenses ÷ withdrawal rate. At 4%, that's 25× expenses. Years to FI solves FV = current·(1+r)^t + savings·((1+r)^t − 1)/r for t. Assumes constant savings and return.

Example

$40,000/yr expenses ÷ 4% rule → $1,000,000 FI target. From $100k invested + $20k/yr at 7% ≈ 20–25 years.

Related: Savings rate · Net worth · Savings growth

How to use

  1. Use a realistic annual expense estimate — including taxes you'd pay in retirement.
  2. Use an after-fee, after-inflation real return (e.g. 4–7%) for honest projections.
  3. Lower withdrawal rates (3–3.5%) are more conservative; 4% is the common baseline.

When it's useful

  • Setting a long-term FI target.
  • Stress-testing different savings rates or returns.
  • Tracking annual progress alongside net worth.

Common examples

$40k expenses ÷ 4%
FI target = $1,000,000.
$100k saved, $20k/yr, 7%
≈ 20–25 yrs to FI.
Higher savings rate
Shortens the timeline more than higher returns.

Frequently asked

What is the 4% rule?

A historical guideline that a 4% inflation-adjusted withdrawal from a balanced portfolio has a high chance of lasting 30+ years. It's a starting point, not a guarantee.

Is this financial advice?

No. FIRE math relies on assumptions (returns, expenses, taxes) that won't match reality exactly. Treat outputs as ballpark targets.

Should I use real or nominal returns?

Use real (inflation-adjusted) returns if you also use today's-dollar expenses — that keeps the comparison apples-to-apples.

What about sequence-of-returns risk?

Not modeled here. A poor early-retirement market can shorten safe withdrawal duration; many planners use lower withdrawal rates as a buffer.

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More money & work

Educational only — not financial advice. Real outcomes depend on returns, taxes, fees, and life events.